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PoliticsGermany
Next German Chancellor
Olaf Scholz84.0%1.19Armin Laschet16.1%6.2Annalena Baerbock0.5%200contracts
January 1
Traded: $193,212
PoliticsGermany
2021 German federal election: First new government after election
Green + SPD + FDP73.53%
CDU/CSU + Green + FDP19.23%
CDU/CSU + SPD11.11%
10 contracts
Live Now
Traded: $73,584
PoliticsNext UK General Election
Year of next general election
20210.83%
20226.90%
202332.26%
2024 or later57.47%
January 2024
Traded: $12,276
PoliticsJoe Biden
Biden to serve full term
Yes63.69%1.57No36.23%2.76
January 2025
Traded: $26,953
Current AffairsReopening
Any Covid restrictions to be re-introduced in England during 2021
Yes65.79%1.52No34.01%2.94
December 31
Traded: $17,754

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33 events
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USA
7 events
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2024 Presidential Election
19 events
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4 events
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11 events
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14 events
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2021 & 2022 Elections

UK Politics

PoliticsNext UK General Election
Overall majority
No overall majority46.3%2.16
May 2024
Traded: $9,478
PoliticsParty Leaders
Keir Starmer exit date (exact year)
202323.8%4.2
January 2025
Traded: $4,220
PoliticsParty Leaders
Next Labour leader
Andy Burnham27.4%
Angela Rayner19.2%
Lisa Nandy8.3%
Sadiq Khan6.5%
Yvette Cooper5.7%
Clive Lewis5.3%
48 contracts
December 2024
Traded: $23,180

Spotlight Markets

Current AffairsReopening
Any Covid restrictions to be re-introduced in England during 2021
Yes65.79%1.52No34.01%2.94
December 31
Traded: $17,754
PoliticsJoe Biden
Biden to serve full term
Yes63.69%1.57No36.23%2.76
January 2025
Traded: $26,953
PoliticsChile
2021 Chilean presidential election winner
Gabriel Boric49.02%2.04Sebastián Sichel37.88%2.64Yasna Provoste12.82%7.8contracts
November 21
Traded: $8,362
Politics2021 & 2022 Elections
2021 Boston mayoral election
Michelle Wu83.33%1.2Annissa Essaibi George18.52%5.4
November 2
Traded: $3,435
PoliticsScotland, Wales and Northern Ireland
Year of next Scottish independence referendum
20212.00%50202213.51%7.4202312.82%7.8contracts
January 2025
Traded: $4,910
PoliticsOpinion Polling
Labour poll lead before 12 October
No60.98%1.64Yes39.68%2.52
October 11
Traded: $1,977

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